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I'm guessing

that it will be another "crap, the population of the U.S. is 51% idiot" night for the Democrats. With 94% of the precincts reporting, Confederate flag loving Southerner (Southern Californian, that is) George Allen is leading Reagan appointee/weird porn writer/Democrat Jim Webb by a hair under 30,000 votes. Unless the remaining 6% vote overwhelmingly blue (around 70-30), Allen will squeak back into the Senate. And with that, the Republicans are all but guaranteed to retain the Senate.

The Democrats cannot win by just campaigning as the "unBush" party, no matter how corrupt and incompetent the Republicans are. First, the Republicans have a small but significant numerical edge. Second, the Republicans have more money (e.g., Allen outspent Webb roughly 9 to 1). Third, the Republicans have an efficient media machine (built during the Clintonian exile) that reliably riles their base with base emotions (fear and loathing, primarily of Muslims and homosexuals respectively). Fourth, the Democrats have little to no coherent or consistent platform -- love it or hate it, the GOP has the outward appearance of a simple, appealing political philosophy (even if in practice they routinely ignore what they preach). People need something to vote FOR, not just against.

By Mrooney at 2006-11-07 19:47 | Mrooney's blog | login or register to post comments | 441 reads

Well

I may yet be wrong. Webb is now up by 2,500 votes (0.001 of the voters). It will surely go to a recount. If McCaskill can stage a similar late inning comeback in Missouri (currently she's down by only 15,000 votes with lots of urban areas yet to report), we may in fact see a 51-49 Democratic Senate to go with the Democratic House.

By Mrooney at Tue, 2006-11-07 22:20 | login or register to post comments

Virginia

has a state mandated recount if the margin of victory is 1% or less so there definitely will be a re-count in Virginia. I am pulling for John Tester in Montana, he is leading by a wafer thing margin.

By AEadmin at Wed, 2006-11-08 08:27 | login or register to post comments

Bon temps

I think Tester's lead will hold; some are already calling the race. Frankly, I'm surprised it was that close, considering how tied Burns was to Jack Abramoff.

Most of the Republicans fired yesterday were in the Northeast. It's the finishing touches on a complete geographical reversal that started in 1968: the Democrats are now the party of the urban north, and the Republicans are firmly yoked to the South.

Bye-bye Rummy. Bye-bye Santorum. Watch that door.

By Mrooney at Wed, 2006-11-08 12:00 | login or register to post comments

Bolton next to be taken to the woodshed?

If he's not the next to resign he'll be out the door when his recess appointment comes to an end in January. It's too bad; he's an amusing guy with a mustache stolen from a muppet.

I believe that the Montana senate race, as close as it was, was not close enough to allow a recount. So barring a disappointment in Virginia, things look good for the defeatocrats.

By bbaker at Wed, 2006-11-08 12:48 | login or register to post comments

He only waited so long to make me look like a jerk.

Finally.

By bbaker at Mon, 2006-12-04 14:19 | login or register to post comments

The new strategy

Look for "stubborn obstructionism" to become the new White House meme. Currently it only registers 81 Google hits as an exact phrase. I'll keep an eye on it as the new Congress convenes.

By Mrooney at Mon, 2006-12-04 14:53 | login or register to post comments

Bolton (the non-Michael one)

W. has formally submitted him to the lame-duck Senate. So he may be around for the remaining two years. I think Bush is betting that the Democrats won't want to be seen as immediately shedding the "we're working together" mantra.

By Mrooney at Thu, 2006-11-09 15:06 | login or register to post comments

Nope -- Bye to Bolton

Chafee and Biden have both called the bluff and said they were still opposed to Bolton's nomination. Awwww.

By Mrooney at Thu, 2006-11-09 16:00 | login or register to post comments

The Senate is in the bank

From what I've read on blogs by political watchers in Virginia, the handful of remaining votes are in areas that were evenly split between Dems and Reps in 2004. So unless George Allen discovers a secret ballot box with 7,000 Republican votes (maybe in the D.C. area warehouse where they keep the Ark of the Covenant), it's now Majority Leader Reid. And longtime Frank Miller fan Patrick Leahy is back in charge of the Judiciary Committee.

By Mrooney at Wed, 2006-11-08 15:03 | login or register to post comments